Season: 14-9 (64%)
We are off to a pretty darn good start this year on DXP. So good in fact, we decided to have a low- key party last week to celebrate. These smokin’ hot ladies promised us even more next week if we stay above 60%.
SAMMY VEGAS
INDIANA (-13) over Akron: Akron was able to stay close to Ohio State last week thanks to 5 OSU TO’s and they managed to put up a whopping 69 total yards. Also this is Akron’s third straight away game with their conference opener on deck. Indiana is coming off a win over Western Michigan where they had over 440 yards of offense lead by 6’7 WR James Hardy who had 4 TD’s and 180 yards. Indiana expects to win games nowadays and they should be all over Akron like A. Rose on every unsuspecting 21 year old in the bar after 10 p.m. And yes, those are actual IU students to the left, and Dr. D is probably in jail as we speak.
NAVY (-7) over Ball State: Navy returns home after a tough loss last Friday night at Rutgers. They are averaging a great 5.7 ypc on the ground while Ball State gives up over 5.1 ypc on the ground (against lesser competition). I truly believe Navy coach Paul Johnson is one of the best coaches in college football and Navy showed it last year by coughing up over 1 million a year to keep him. He better win this one by 7.
LSU (-40) over Middle Tennessee State: There is no point in getting into stats here - LSU is good. The only problem here is obviously not their drubbing of Va. Tech (48-7) last week, but having South Carolina on deck. However, Freshmen LSU QB Ryan Perriloux should get a good chance here to mop up and build some confidence. This is just a sad case of having your 3rd and 4th stringers overmatch the starters on a much inferior team.
NORTHWESTERN (-16.5) over Duke: Northwestern’s bowl chances could ride on getting a victory here at home after a comeback win over Nevada last week. Duke is so bad that their QB averages 143 ypg with 2 TDs and 4 INTs, their rushing attack is getting 50 ypg, and the offense line has given up 9 sacks – and these are against UCONN and Virginia. Northwestern is in great shape here.
Louisville (-6.5) over KENTUCKY: The REDNECK bowl here should be high on hot girls but low on class. This was a tough one here, but I do think Louisville got a serious wakeup call last week on Thursday vs. MTSU. An interesting stat I found here regarding two of the best QBs in the country: Brohm from Louisville is 5-0 all time vs. Woodson from UK by a total score of 219-60. Louisville is 7-1 the last 8 here.
PENN STATE (-34) over Buffalo: I am simply picking Penn State in this one as we need to ride their early season dominance out as long as possible. Penn State is by far the best team in the Big 10 right now, but they do have Michigan on deck. Buffalo returns 18 starters and looked great last week as they blew up Temple – but offensively, they face a team that hasn’t given up an offensive TD this year against Notre Dame and FIU.TIMMY ROSE
Houston (-14.5) over Tulane: The Cougars once again lead the nation in awesome nicknames and have had a week off to think about falling apart in Eugene two weeks ago. Houston piled up the offense against Oregon in Week 1 and look to have a balanced attack against a defense that gave up almost 34 points a game last year. The score was 45-7 in Houston last year and I don’t think this one will be much closer. Did I mention Tulane didn’t get a singe first down in the second half last week? Much like the second half at the bars for Sammy Vegas last Saturday night.
BYU (-6.5) over Tulsa: Had I known that BYU would rack up 435 yards of offense last week and hold UCLA to 236 yards, I would have called the 7 pt dog Cougs a bigger lock than Tom Cruise’s homosexuality. However, UCLA got a pick-six early in the game and then scored a garbage TD with a minute left to pull off the front-door cover. This is a vastly underrated BYU defense and there is great line value here as BYU is coming off a misleading loss and Tulsa off a misleading win in Week 1.
Virginia Tech (-20.5) over Ohio: The spread on this game would have been 28 before the start of the season. Ohio returns just 11 starters from last year’s MAC East Champion squad and lose their entire LB corp from last year, their strongest unit. Virginia Tech will look to rebound from their worst loss in 25 years and I call for Coach Beamer to leave the starters in well into the 2nd half as he starts a freshman QB for the first time. Ohio gave up over 500 yards of offense last week in a game that saw them down 10 points at half. There will be no 2nd half comeback this week and Ohio’s point total is likely to be lower than Frank Solich’s BAC.
Florida State (-4) over Colorado: I bet against shitty QBs more often than Dr. D puts his cell phone number on a class syllabus. Cody Hawkins was so bad last week only Ivanka Trump could appreciate the brand of nepotism that is stinking up Boulder. Andy Reid is having better luck with his sons. This is another one of those games where the spread would have been double digits before the start of the season and FSU has yet to show the talent they have on offense. Last week, Colorado’s defense wore out faster than a Diddy single and I see no reason they will keep this one close down the stretch against a team with much greater talent.
Boston College (+7) over Georgia: There has been a lot of talk about how great Georgia Tech’s defense is with 8 starters back from a solid unit in 2006. Surprisingly, Boston College has allowed fewer points/game than G-Tech in each of the last 3 years and have 9 starters back from last year’s team that allowed just over 100 rushing yards per game. The Yellow Jackets have two talented RBs, but Matt Ryan does just enough on offense to keep this one close in very low scoring ACC game in Hotlanta.
Louisville-Kentucky OVER (77): This game is simple. Match up two of the best QBs and offenses in the country against two of the worst scoring defenses in the country. There will be very few FGs in this match-up and the OVER could hit by half. Brohm is now a front-runner for the Heisman and you can bet Steve Kragthorpe will do everything he can to get him the award.
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