Ron Burgundy should give you a hint about this one.

I bring you San Diego State Cheerleaders.





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KANSAS STATE (-24.5) over Baylor: The fightin’ Bears have lost their last 5 Big 12 away games by 55-19. Last week at OSU, K State had over 500 yards of offense, blew a 4th quarter 14 pt lead, and lost on a last second field goal. Baylor brings in a pathetic spread offense that has to match up against the #8 pass D in the country. Besides, Coach Ron Prince needs to start eating up these cupcakes just for the weigh in against Mangino’s Jayhawks.
AUBURN (-17.5) over Mississippi: Ole Miss remains the only winless team in the SEC and was destroyed last week by an Arkansas team that Auburn held to 67 yards rushing (yeah, the same team with Darren McFadden and Felix Jones). As DXP reader Andrew has posted here, maybe Tommy Tuberville wouldn’t be such a bad candidate. After all he both praised and criticized his team after they beat Florida on the road, destroyed Arkansas on the road, and then lost on a questionable last second 25 yard ‘Hail Mary’ that cost them at LSU. With similar or maybe more talent imagine Nebraska’s results in those games? Imagine Bill Callahan’s comments. There would have a lot of ****-sucking amongst the coaching staff on that plane ride home.
TEXAS (-21) over Nebraska: I’ll give you one comparison. Iowa State outgained Nebraska by 46 yards in Lincoln and Texas outgained ISU by 286 in Ames. Texas’ players are physically healthy and Nebraska’s players are mentally unhealthy. Nebraska is 0-7 ATS the last 7 and is giving up 496 yards/game. One of the absurd comments to come out of Billy C.’s mouth at the press conference, when asked why RBs Marcus Mendoza and Cody Glenn didn’t play (as he said they would), ‘we’re just in a rhythm with those other players right now.’ Rhythm? Huh?
MISSOURI (-28) over Iowa State: Okay, I was wrong. Missouri is for real. Iowa State has the #106 rated pass defense in the country and has lost their Big 12 games by an average of 27 a game. If you are smart, expect a let down by both teams as ISU hung tough with Oklahoma and Missouri destroyed the potent T. Tech Raiders. However, ISU will be playing youth, as recommended by Dr. D at IU, as Coach Chizek starts to look ahead.
Troy (-4) over ARKANSAS STATE: Arkansas State was destroyed last week by MTSU, 7-24 at home, and out-gained by 246 yards. Troy worked out in this great spot last week as they destroyed N. Texas by 38, out-gained them by 300 yards, had 7 TO’s against them (yeah 7), and oh yeah, are on a 10-2 ATS streak. I got more, but this girl to my left just invited me over for picking Troy two weeks in a row. Sorry, gotta go.
WASHINGTON (-3.5) over Arizona: Speaking of coaches about to get fired, let’s look at a game in Seattle where both head coaches will be more pre-occupied with updating their resumes than calling plays. While Washington has lost 5 straight, they’ve played much tougher competition than Arizona and have Stanford on deck. The Wildcat spread offense has struggled on the road this year, averaging just 16 points per game.
EAST CAROLINA (-14) over UAB: UAB returned just 8 starters back this year and have been taking a pounding on both sides of the ball. This is a team with 20 fewer scholarship players than almost every other program and they have just 1 victory over I-A competition. This is a revenge game and Homecoming for East Carolina and they find themselves tied atop of the C-USA East standings with Southern Miss. UAB will be calling A Rose for tips on cougar hunting by the half.
LOUISVILLE (-11) over Pitt: Louisville’s defense has been almost as bad at home as another team that wears red and white and recruited Quentin Castille in the off-season. However, as bad as they’ve been, there’s no way in hell we’re betting on a team coached by Steve Pederson’s #2 choice. Just think how appropriately ugly and foretelling that 7-6 slopfest in Lincoln was in 2005.
ASU (-3) over Cal: ASU has less experience in big games this year than Dr. D has in the condom aisle at the 7-Eleven in Bloomington. However, unlike a Bill Callahan coached team, Dennis Erickson knows how to get his players up for a big game and make adjustments at the half. Seriously, Callahan, if you are reading this, you the worst halftime coach in the history of college football (not a typo). You’ve outscored conference opponents in the 3rd quarter all of 3 times in your career. Fucking pathetic. Conversely, ASU is outscoring opponents 89-17 in the 3rd quarter this year. Take a lesson Cosgrove. It’s called making a god damned adjustment. ASU will turn a close game into a big-time win in front a sold-out crowd at Sun Devil Stadium.
OREGON STATE (-13)over Stanford: Oregon State is one of the most underrated teams in the Pac-10. If not for terrible QB play in the 2nd half, they could be on a 4-game winning streak. They have the #23 ranked defense in the NCAA and are giving up the fewest yards per rush in college football at just 1.8. Stanford won on the road in Tucson last week, but are in for a blowout loss in Corvallis this week facing an Oregon State squad that is off a bye, cutting down on mistakes, and playing lights out defense.

Oregon (-11) over WASHINGTON: I’m still trying to figure this out. Oregon, coming off a 53-7 win over WSU, is averaging 45 points a game and 530 yards of offense. Washington has lost 4 straight and has major offensive struggles while giving up almost 30 a game. My man love for Oregon QB Dennis Dixon continues as he now has 1500 yards passing with 15/2 td/int, and 320 yards with 6 TDs on the ground. If this kid is playing in any other BCS conference he is a legit Heisman candidate.
Texas (-24) over BAYLOR: Baylor is back to being Baylor as after a 3-1 start, they have gotten waxed the last 3 games including last week 58-10 vs. Kansas. If you have ever seen a team own another team, this is it. In the last 4 meetings, Texas has put 63, 62, 44, and 56 points. Baylor was shut out twice. Maybe it’s the Longhorn helmet, maybe it’s the Hook ‘em horns, maybe it’s the smokin’ hot ladies that are the Texas cheerleaders – whatever, Baylor once again won’t show up.
Texas Tech (+3.5) over MIZZOU: It’s been awhile since I sprinkled in the ‘Pinkel factor’ for line value, but what the hell. Just when everyone was talking about Chase Daniel for Heisman and this is the year Mizzery finally gets to that elusive Big 12 North championship game, POOF!!! The fact is Graham Harrell, product of a system or not, has 31 TDs and 3 INTs to Daniels’ 16 and 6. The big problem is that Tech’s Defense is better which means Tech is in a shoot out, which means Tech wins. Tech is winning this year by 30 a game – and they get points here they do don’t need.
SOUTH CAROLINA (-13.5) over Vandy: Spurrier almost shit his pants after last week’s dismal 2nd half against UNC where they almost blew a big halftime lead – literally as he called his playcalling ‘conservative crap.’ Spurrier’s pissed off attitude is not good for Vandy, who is 105th in offense and who Spurrier just happens to be 15-0 vs. That’s a crap that Vandy doesn’t want to eat.
Oklahoma (-29) over IOWA STATE: Oklahoma is #5 in the BCS and is the highest ranked team with one loss – and sitting pretty. The problem for Iowa State, who was defeated 56-3 to Texas last week, is that the players from Oklahoma know that they have to win out. "We know we've got to win every week. We can't worry about what someone else is doing. We've got to worry about winning," Oklahoma running back Chris Brown said. Oklahoma has won the last two games here 84-17. Bet it, don’t watch it.
TROY (-18) over North Texas: Troy is 3-0 in conference play, 4-2 overall with only losses at Florida and at Arkansas and a win at home vs. Oklahoma State. North Texas has one win this year and has given up 79 to Oklahoma and 66 to Arkansas and are a whopping 0-9 ATS the last 9 against teams with winning records. That’s all I got. 

OREGON (-18) over Washington St.: You gotta love revenge games (WSU over Oregon 34-23 last year) especially when you have Dennis Dixon at QB. Dixon has put up ridiculous numbers this year with 1238 passing yards (12 TDs) and 308 rushing yards (5 TDs) in only 5 games. This will be Oregon’s first time back since the last second loss to Cal and look for Donald ‘the Fighting’ Duck to kick Butch T. Cougar’s ass during warm-ups - just ask UH mascot Shasta.
TEXAS TECH (-9) over Texas A&M: In case you haven’t heard, Tech Freshman WR Michael Crabtree has 1,027 yards and 17 TDs this year while QB Graham Harrell has 2726 yards and 28 TD’s. Those aren’t even Playstation number, they’re higher. If you have your abacus out, Crabtree is projected to have over 2100 yards and 34 TDs and Harrell is projected to have 5450 yards and 56 TDs (thanks SMQ). That is way too much fire power for A&M whose only road game was a blowout loss at Miami. Mike Leach will take any chance he gets to run Texas and Texas A&M out of Lubbock.
KANSAS (-25) over Baylor: Much like our weekends with ladies the lately, this has let down written all over it. But if there is one thing Mangino is good at it is devouring cupcakes. While Baylor was getting pummeled by Colorado 40-9 early in the 3rd Q last week, KU was on their way to 5-0. KU is top 20 in Off., Def. and Spec. Teams and Baylor is 91st or worse in those.
ARKANSAS (-3) over Auburn: Arkansas was snake bit early in the season by Alabama and Kentucky where they lost high scoring games. However, since then they have destroyed two cupcakes and had last week off. Auburn has a lot of momentum (and not much rest) coming off a big win over Vanderbilt and of course Florida – even with horrible QB Brandon Cox who has 4 TDs and 7 INTs. However, this is an SEC home night game, these are the two best running backs in the country in Darren McFadden and Felix Jones for Arkansas, and this is a must win.
SOUTH CAROLINA (-7) OVER NORTH CAROLINA: Interesting stat here, these coaches have met 1 time in college and 1 time in the NFL with Butch have won both over the ‘Ole Ball Coach.’ USC is ranked #7 after their big win over then #8 Kentucky, but don’t think UNC doesn’t have upset on their mind. They are off a huge win over Miami where their 20 something true freshman are obviously getting much better. However, Spurrier has been great off bye weeks and he knows how big this game is for recruiting purposes so look for his veteran team to be at least a touchdown better over the young NC team.
USC (-21) over Arizona: I would not want to be Mike Stoops on Saturday. He gets to go to the Coliseum to face a USC squad that will be looking to put a beat down on whoever is on the field. Arizona’s new Mike Leach offense is averaging over 300 yards per game passing and just 86 yards per game rushing, which is good for 9th worst in the NCAA. Expect USC to bring plenty of pressure and force QB Tuitama into bad decisions. He threw 3 INTs in the blowout loss to Oregon State last week and this one will get out of hand early.
MIAMI (-2.5) over Georgia Tech: Miami has not been Miami the last 2 weeks, beating Duke by 10 and losing badly at North Carolina. Expect HC Shannon to regroup on defense as they gave up almost 200 yards rushing last week. Georgia Tech has no passing game and Miami’s speed will be too much.
Louisville (+11) over CINCY: We bet against Cincy last week and are trying harder than Arthur Blank to recover our losses. They face a more potent passing attack this week as well as a rare defense that’s giving up more yards per game than the vaunted Blackshirts. Louisville gets some line value this week based on last week’s results and we think Louisville keeps it closer than Sammy’s mob ties in Vegas think.
BYU (-11) over UNLV: This pick is simple. Only A. Rose has gotten on Cougars more often than I have at the books this year and it’s been a very profitable strategy. BYU is off of an impressive win at New Mexico two weeks ago and gets 2 weeks to prep for the Runnin’ Rebs. Meanwhile, UNLV goes from getting beat up by the option at Air Force last week to facing one of the best air attacks in the country this week. Take A. Rose’s advice on Cougars: Lock ‘em up early as spreads are likely to get wider as they day goes on.
IOWA (+4) over Illinois: Iowa looked terrible last week against Penn State on the road and will look to get a much-needed victory at home against an Illinois defense that gave up over 500 yards last week to Wisconsin. The home team has covered 5 in a row in this series and Illinois is a road favorite less often than Dr. D is favored to get a return phone call from a sophomore lighter than 130 lbs.