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Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Take the Double Extra Points #4

Last Week: 6-6 (50%)
Season: 20-15 (57%)


Last week was a rough one for us as we were more focused on the USC song girls than on our picks. Our keg party girls chose to hang out with other guys this week as we dipped below 60% - so no girls making out on top of kegs for this week. I guess you’ll have to suffer with this Erin Andrews video instead this week.



SAMMY VEGAS

OHIO STATE (-22) over Northwestern: Ohio State has won the last two contests by an average of 51-9. Northwestern is coming off a horrible loss at home vs. Duke and Ohio State is back home for the Big 10 opener after an impressive win at Washington. New QB Todd Boeckman from OSU and RB “Beanie” Wells have been very impressive thus far and A. Rose’s girls should have nothing on the ugliness of this game.

Georgia Tech (-3.5) over VIRGINIA: Georgia Tech is off to a 2-1 start this year with last week’s loss to an impressive Boston College team and Heisman candidate QB Matt Ryan. Virginia is 2-1 as well, however, their one loss was by 20 to Wyoming and the two wins were against lowly Duke and North Carolina. G. Tech has scored 112 points this year to Virginia’s 49 (112th in the NCAA). G. Tech will deny Virginia from the end-zone this week more than T. Rose will be denied by Cinnamon at Centerfold’s Strip Club in Phoenix this weekend. And that’s a lock.

CALIFORNIA (-16) over Arizona: Last year, Arizona outscored Cal in the 2nd half at home to beat the then #8 Bears 24-20 at home. This is a huge revenge game for Cal who is now 3-0 and ranked #6 in the AP poll and is having a big year from QB Nate Longshore – who is not a porn star by the way. Arizona is 1-2 with their only win over Northern Arizona. Expect a few big plays from WR and Special Teams specialist DeSean Jackson from Cal to cover this one.

LSU (-16.5) over South Carolina: LSU has allowed 2.3 points per game this year with the only points coming from a 1 yard touchdown run against V. Tech where they won 48-7. It will be interesting to see who gets the nod at QB for LSU as Ryan Perrilloux has completed 81% of his passes fro 403 yards, 6 TDs, and 1 INT. Steve Spurrier is 11-1 all time against LSU and his defense has allowed just over 9 points a game, which includes a win at Georgia. Hopefully Kevin Cosgrove can find some of Bo Pelini’s notes that he might have left behind on his office floor at Nebraska.


KANSAS (-31) over Florida International: This will be a bigger blowout than a Lindsay Lohan Tuesday night at home with a few friends. Talk about impressive so far this year, the Jayhawks are 7th in the country in total offense and 5th in points scored. On the other hand, FIU has scored 19 points in three games and ranks dead last in total yards. The Big 12 should be on notice of this Jayhawk team because of their scary good offensive (7th nationally).

ALABAMA (-3.5) over Georgia: Nick Saban has Alabama back this year as they are off to an impressive 3-0 start with last week’s win over #16 Arkansas. Georgia is 2-1 with their only loss at home to Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks. This is the ESPN Saturday night Game of the Week where the Crimson Tide and their home fans surely can’t wait to show college football that they are back.

TIMMY ROSE

MIAMI-Texas A&M UNDER (47): Much like A Rose’s selection of dive-bombing targets at Barry’s last Saturday, I like to mix it up a little. I still don’t know how one goes from hitting on a hot 22 year-old one minute to a 250 lb. rugby player the next, but god damnit I respect him. This is for all of you recently married guys because if you are anything like me, you’ll find any excuse you can to get the hell out of the house on a Thursday night to go drink beer and watch football. Well, here you go. Throw down $100 on the UNDER and start rooting for the punters. Worst case scenario: at least you’re still winning at the half.

BYU (-10.5) over Air Force: If any of you loyal DXP readers can tell me how a team racks up 700 yards of offense and loses, then I have a free souvenir ticket stub from the Nebraska-USC game for you. QB Max Hall torched the Tulsa D for 537 yards and 4 TDs, yet the Cougars D failed to show up. They catch a break going against an Air Force squad in a classic letdown position. Air Force returns just 12 starters from a team that lost 33-14 to BYU and I don’t expect this one to be any closer. Take this early as the spread could be 2 TDs once the whales read this post.

WYOMING (-3.5) over Ohio: This one is easy. Take an offense that Walter “Bummy” Booth (a little Husker trivia for you) would find boring and match it up against a defense that is giving up less than 100 yards rushing per game and you have weather conditions for raining $20 bills. Give the 3 ½ points and load up as Frank Solich’s BAC will likely surpass the Bobcats first down total in this one. Wait . . . didn’t I just say that last week?

NAVY (-11.5) over Duke: I look into football boxscores almost as frequently as Dr. D looks into bathroom stalls at the Minneapolis airport. Take a look at last week’s Navy-Ball St game and you’ll see that Navy rushed for 534 yards and not only found a way to lose, but only scored 31 points. Just think how many the Trojans could have scored if they ran for that many? Meanwhile, Duke gave up over 500 yards in Evanston against Northwestern, but somehow found a way to break a 22-game losing streak by winning 20-14. This spread would have been 21 a week ago. Even with a backup QB, there will be more seamen running wild in Annapolis on Saturday than in the Kappa Kappa Gamma house in Lincoln.

UCLA (-6.5) over Washington: Last week UCLA proved that it is more over-rated than Hannah Montana yet they get some line value this week against a Washington team that showed last week it is not ready to be back on the big stage (sound familiar?). This is also a revenge game for the Bruins as they lost 29-19 in Seattle last year despite having a 16-0 lead. Washington gets USC at home next week and the Bruins will be anxious to get back on track after an ugly loss to Utah last week. The Bruins will pull away in the second half and get the front-door cover.