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Friday, October 20, 2006

Sammy Vegas - Take the Double Extra Points #7

“The smarter you play, the luckier you’ll be”

Last Week: 5-3 ATS
Season: 24-26-1 ATS

Up to half time of last night’s game with Viginia and North Carolina, Kirk Herbstreit and Erin Andrews were pretty subdued. That is until Chris Fowler asked her if she would be warm enough if it started to rain. Fowler stated that he thought that she had a Gore-Tex jacket, and Herbstreit had to add that although he was not sure about the jacket, he knew ‘that she always packs a hat.’ No doubt he knows.

Much criticism and blame has been brought towards Miami this week regarding their return to ‘Thug U’. Although behavior such as what transpired in the Orange Bowl is unacceptable, leave it to the always scantily-clad Jenn Sterger of SI On Campus to highlight that Miami is not to blame. Jenn also adds her opinion of the state of football in Florida while providing us with more pictures of herself that got me sidetracked from the article for a good 5 minutes.

Last week, we went a strong 5-3, but we are still reeling from a disastrous performance two weeks ago (as well as Jeffie Husker’s pitiful slump). We are anxiously awaiting the start of basketball season in hopes that the fellas in Vegas will suffer from divided attention. But regardless this week should continue our winning ways.


Sammy Vegas

Miami, FL (-17.5) over Duke: With the fallout from last week’s brawl still continuing, it might be easy to ignore that Miami does have only 2 losses this season (Florida State and Louisville). In fact, Miami is in first place in the ACC Coastal division and has a very favorable schedule from here on out. My prediction is that the talented ‘Canes are going to garner momentum and use the ‘us against the world’ attitude to run the table and play in the ACC championship. Now, let’s talk about Duke. Point guard Greg Paulus broke his foot last week and is expected to miss the first part of the season.

Louisville (-17) over Syracuse: Star QB Brian Brohm has returned for the Louisville Cardinals and they are off to a 6-0 start. In his first start back from injury, however, Brohm struggled in a closer than expected win over Cincinnati. Syracuse gave West Virginia a great first half, but got dismantled in the second half and gave up a whopping 457 yards on the ground. With a bye on deck and Brohm in his second game back, Louisville will light it up.

Pittsburgh (-6.5) over Rutgers: Rutgers is off to a 6-0 start and Pittsburgh is 6-1. Both teams are legit Big East title contenders. Rutgers is currently on the end of a lengthy road trip and has been lead by a great ground attack lead by RB Ray Rice who has 11 TD’s and 900 yards on the year. However, this Pittsburgh team is lead by QB Tyler Palko who leads the NCAA in passing efficiency with 240 yards/game and 17 TD’s to 3 INT’s. Pitt has the talent edge, and with the advantage of playing at home with Rutgers at the end of a long road trip, the country will take notice of the Panthers after this one.

T. Rose

Arizona State (-22.5) over Stanford: Arizona State coach Dirk Koetter needs a blowout on Saturday worse than Tom Cruise needs psychotherapy. He finds his Sun Devils playing against the worst rush defense in college football in the 0-7 Cardinal. Stanford is giving up 263 rushing yards per game and ASU RB Ryan Torrain should have a huge day on Homecoming. Stanford will start back-up QB Ostrander against a Sun Devil defense that is coming off a great 2nd half showing against USC. Look for Koetter to pile up the points as he attempts to get some confidence back into QB Rudy Carpenter. This could be the only game of the season where fans don't ask "Where's Sam?".

Notre Dame (-13.5) over UCLA: UCLA will start sophomore Patrick Cowan for the 2nd straight week as starter Ben Olson nurses a knee injury and for the 2nd straight week UCLA will be in a hostile environment. UCLA's defense gave up over 400 yards of offense last week to Oregon in a game that was no where near as close as the 30-20 final would indicate. Although these teams have not played in over 40 years, look for Brady Quinn and Notre Dame to pile up the yards in the first half as they are coming off a bye week and a terrible 1st half showing in their previous game against Stanford. UCLA will be focused more on getting healthy for a run at a 4th place Pac-10 finish.

Middle Tennesse State (-4) over Louisiana-Monroe: Middle Tennesse State has quietly dominated teams in the Sun Belt Conference this year, winning its two conference games by a combined 79-0. While this team was destroyed by Oklahoma and Louisville, they played tough at Maryland, has much more talent on both sides of the ball, and are road tested. Look for the Blue Raiders to pull away in the 2nd half as the 1-5 Warhawks are simply overmatched here.

Dr. D

Missouri (-15) over Kansas State: I hate Kansas State. Missouri QB Chase Daniel is passing for 250 ypg this season with 15 TD’s and RB Tony Temple is averaging 5.4 yards/carry. Furthermore, Daniel has 55 completions to his two TE’s, who are both legit NFL talents. Kansas State hits the road here to Columbia where QB Deusche Freeman (0 TD’s and 6 INT’s) makes his first start away from home. After last week’s loss to Texas A&M, Missouri is stewing over 4 turnovers and bad fake field goal call. K. State has 13 consecutive wins against Mizzou, but unless you get points for how many calories your coach can consume in one day, K. State has no chance.

Maryland (-1.5) over N.C. State: Believe it or not, the winner of this game will be sitting in great position atop of the ACC Atlantic division. Both teams have only one conference loss, but Maryland is clearly riding all the momentum here. They are coming off a 20 pt come-from-behind win over Virginia, and NC State is coming off a disappointing loss to Wake Forest. Although both teams are even statistically, NC State lost their only other road game this year at SMU – so go with the ‘home cooking’ here.

Guest Handicapper of the Week: Justin ‘Double’ D.

Arkansas (-20.5) over Ole Miss: With UL-Monroe up next for Arkansas, they certainly have nothing to overlook here. Furthermore, Arkansas is fresh off a 63 point performance last week and has just recently entered the Top 25 for the first time in years. Arkansas RB Darren McFadden and the rest of the offense is averaging over 235 ypg and Ole Miss brings in one of the worst rush defenses in the country. Although Ole Miss has played Vanderbilt and Alabama close recently, look for them to get steamrolled here on the road.