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Friday, October 13, 2006

Sammy Vegas - Take the Double Extra Points #6

“The smarter you play, the luckier you’ll be”

Last Week: 2-6 ATS
Season: 19-23-1 ATS

First off, last week was absolutely pathetic. Our deepest condolences go out to anyone who viewed the article other than for the pictures. Good news is that this a new week. Bad news is although there is free money everywhere this weekend but we only provided our Top 8.

Secondly, have you all heard that Kansas State will have the Harley Davidson chapter of Manhattan parade around in their motorcycles during Saturday’s pre-game? That was the most red-neck thing I have ever seen the first several times they tried it against Nebraska, but now it is getting ridiculous. In fact, in case you are not a believer of the Callahan-Prince rivalry, Callahan actually invited the Lincoln Harley Davidson chapter to practice on Thursday. Why Bill? Why do we feel the need to try and outdo Kansas State? Bill - when Kansas State eventually starts parading RVs around the field, lets work on the gameplan and not on getting into a contest of who has the better motor homes.

And finally, in case you haven’t heard, the Friday Night Lights television drama has hit television with mixed reviews. The show is on NBC on Tuesday nights, and so far, it has been eerily similar to the movie Varsity Blues. It is not bad though, but I wonder about the longevity factor. However, if I was deaf I would still watch. Why? Easy - the quantity and quality of the girls on the show. Speechless now.

Sammy Vegas

Purdue (-7) over Northwestern: Despite rotating starting QB’s, the vaunted Northwestern passing attack is averaging 127 yards/game with 1 TD and 7 INT’s. Seriously? RB Tyrell Sutton has been held to virtually nothing in Big 10 play and has been suffering from a concussion. Purdue QB Curtis Painter is averaging almost 300 yards/game this season in the air with 11 TD’s, but also has a league leading 7 INT’s. He has the luxury of throwing to Big 10 reception leader WR Dorien Bryant and handing the ball off to RB Kory Sheets who has 9 TD’s. Northwestern has given up over 500 yards of offense a game so far in Big 10 play. Simply put, Purdue should have this one covered by the end of the 1st quarter.

Arizona (-3) over Stanford: The Stanford Cardinal comes into this one 0-6 on the season and has now conceded the season as the younger kids will now get more playing time. They have the worst rush defense in the country giving up 270 yards/game with almost 6 yards a carry. Arizona has had a brutal schedule to date with losses coming to LSU, USC, UCLA, and Washington. Look for Mike Stoops to get his team, which is talented, on track here as this game is a great opportunity to get their first Pac 10 win.

T. Rose

Oklahoma (-19) over Iowa State: Iowa State was dominated by Nebraska's rushing attack and Oklahoma is coming off of a crushing loss to Texas last week. In fact, after the Texas game, Oklahoma is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS. Bob Stoops rebounds better than Dave Navarro (Carmen who?) and Adrian Peterson should surpass 200 yards rushing. Iowa State is in a very unfortunate roll here traveling to OU. Look for Oklahoma to jump out early and never look back.

Colorado (+7) over Texas Tech: The embarrassment in Boulder catches a break this week with a Texas Tech offense that has not been itself all season. Texas Tech turned the ball over 5 times last week in their blowout loss to Missouri, and look for these mistakes to make it easier on CU's pitiful offense to score some points. Colorado is on a 10 game losing streak, but they do face the same type of spread offense for the third week in a row. CU has played a tough schedule so far and has a very tough front 7. This one goes down to the wire in one of the better Big XII games of the day.

Jeffie Husker

Utah (-3) over Wyoming: Wyoming will be giving the start to a Fr. QB who had a decent game last week with 200 yards in the air but had 2 INT’s. The Cowboys won the game on the road in New Mexico and held their offense to only 78 yards rushing. However, Utah is coming off a huge 20-7 win over TCU in which they dominated their defense held the Frogs to only 81 rushing yards. After disappointing losses to Boise and UCLA, Utah could run the table the rest of the way. With their multiple offensive formations and senior lead defense facing a team that has given up 22 sacks, love the Utes to continue their momentum.

Iowa (-19) over Indiana: Indiana is off a last second win against Iowa as they got their first win in conference play. Fr QB Kellen Lewis has been given the start, but All-America WR James Hardy is still not at 100%. Since coach Hep arrived in town, Indiana is 0-4 ATS and straight up against everyone other than Illinois in Big Ten play. Iowa is coming off a big win against Purdue last week in a 47-17 win. QB Drew Tate is back to 100% this week and with Michigan on deck, look for Iowa to build on their confidence here.

Dr. D

Nebraska (-9) over Kansas State: Nebraska has not won in Manhattan since 1996 which was the first year of the Big 12. Wow! In fact, Kansas State is 6-0 ATS the last 6 vs. NU. However, this is Callahan 3.0. QB Zac Taylor is completing 66% of his passes with 13 TD’s to only 2 INT’s. At RB, there is no telling who we will see, but I expect Lucky to be back and motivated with his 6.3 ypc. Kansas State was fortunate last week as they scored two TD’s in the last 3:04 to beat Oklahoma State under the guidance of freshman QB Josh Freeman. After leaving the Huskers without a QB recruit last season after he took back his commitment, Freeman’s well-being is at jeopardy here facing an angry blackshirt defense that ranks #13 in overall D.

Penn State (+7) over Michigan: The Wolverines defense this year is giving up only 40 rush yards/game and 210 pass yards/game. UM QB Chad Henne is having a great year with a 62% completion percentage and 13 TD’s to only 4 INT’s. However, All-American and Heisman trophy candidate WR Mario Manningham is out after having a knee scope. RB Mike Hart will have to pick up the slack. Penn State will no doubt bring in a chip as their only loss last year was on the last play of the game at Michigan. The Nittany Lions have seen improved game play from QB Anthony Morrelli, and playing this one at home on Saturday night in Happy Valley, UM will need its best just to win.