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Thursday, October 11, 2007

Take the Double Extra Points

Last Week: 5-5 (50%)
Season: 35-32-1 (52%)

If there is one wager that I can guarantee – DXP will have a 8-2 week and be back on track sooner than the Blackshirts hold a team to single digits. That much I can guarantee. Good thing is next week is here for us. Bad thing is next week is here for Nebraska. I figure it’s been awhile since we brought you Erin Andrews or Colleen Dominguez, which is why we need to cheer ourselves up with a picture of CBS’ own Jill Arrington. (That’s my ring on her finger so don’t get any ideas)


OREGON (-18) over Washington St.: You gotta love revenge games (WSU over Oregon 34-23 last year) especially when you have Dennis Dixon at QB. Dixon has put up ridiculous numbers this year with 1238 passing yards (12 TDs) and 308 rushing yards (5 TDs) in only 5 games. This will be Oregon’s first time back since the last second loss to Cal and look for Donald ‘the Fighting’ Duck to kick Butch T. Cougar’s ass during warm-ups - just ask UH mascot Shasta.

TEXAS TECH (-9) over Texas A&M: In case you haven’t heard, Tech Freshman WR Michael Crabtree has 1,027 yards and 17 TDs this year while QB Graham Harrell has 2726 yards and 28 TD’s. Those aren’t even Playstation number, they’re higher. If you have your abacus out, Crabtree is projected to have over 2100 yards and 34 TDs and Harrell is projected to have 5450 yards and 56 TDs (thanks SMQ). That is way too much fire power for A&M whose only road game was a blowout loss at Miami. Mike Leach will take any chance he gets to run Texas and Texas A&M out of Lubbock.

KANSAS (-25) over Baylor: Much like our weekends with ladies the lately, this has let down written all over it. But if there is one thing Mangino is good at it is devouring cupcakes. While Baylor was getting pummeled by Colorado 40-9 early in the 3rd Q last week, KU was on their way to 5-0. KU is top 20 in Off., Def. and Spec. Teams and Baylor is 91st or worse in those.

ARKANSAS (-3) over Auburn: Arkansas was snake bit early in the season by Alabama and Kentucky where they lost high scoring games. However, since then they have destroyed two cupcakes and had last week off. Auburn has a lot of momentum (and not much rest) coming off a big win over Vanderbilt and of course Florida – even with horrible QB Brandon Cox who has 4 TDs and 7 INTs. However, this is an SEC home night game, these are the two best running backs in the country in Darren McFadden and Felix Jones for Arkansas, and this is a must win.

SOUTH CAROLINA (-7) OVER NORTH CAROLINA: Interesting stat here, these coaches have met 1 time in college and 1 time in the NFL with Butch have won both over the ‘Ole Ball Coach.’ USC is ranked #7 after their big win over then #8 Kentucky, but don’t think UNC doesn’t have upset on their mind. They are off a huge win over Miami where their 20 something true freshman are obviously getting much better. However, Spurrier has been great off bye weeks and he knows how big this game is for recruiting purposes so look for his veteran team to be at least a touchdown better over the young NC team.

ARKANSAS STATE (-9) over UL Lafayette: I would have to be a total loser to look up stats for a game like this. Anyways, Arkansas State has played well in two losses at Texas and at Tennessee. They are actually 1 of 2 teams in the conference to have more yards than their opponents and they boast the toughest schedule. Arkansas State has a decent enough running attack (#37) to take on the 117th best rush defense from ULL.


USC (-21) over Arizona: I would not want to be Mike Stoops on Saturday. He gets to go to the Coliseum to face a USC squad that will be looking to put a beat down on whoever is on the field. Arizona’s new Mike Leach offense is averaging over 300 yards per game passing and just 86 yards per game rushing, which is good for 9th worst in the NCAA. Expect USC to bring plenty of pressure and force QB Tuitama into bad decisions. He threw 3 INTs in the blowout loss to Oregon State last week and this one will get out of hand early.

MIAMI (-2.5) over Georgia Tech: Miami has not been Miami the last 2 weeks, beating Duke by 10 and losing badly at North Carolina. Expect HC Shannon to regroup on defense as they gave up almost 200 yards rushing last week. Georgia Tech has no passing game and Miami’s speed will be too much.

Louisville (+11) over CINCY: We bet against Cincy last week and are trying harder than Arthur Blank to recover our losses. They face a more potent passing attack this week as well as a rare defense that’s giving up more yards per game than the vaunted Blackshirts. Louisville gets some line value this week based on last week’s results and we think Louisville keeps it closer than Sammy’s mob ties in Vegas think.

BYU (-11) over UNLV: This pick is simple. Only A. Rose has gotten on Cougars more often than I have at the books this year and it’s been a very profitable strategy. BYU is off of an impressive win at New Mexico two weeks ago and gets 2 weeks to prep for the Runnin’ Rebs. Meanwhile, UNLV goes from getting beat up by the option at Air Force last week to facing one of the best air attacks in the country this week. Take A. Rose’s advice on Cougars: Lock ‘em up early as spreads are likely to get wider as they day goes on.

IOWA (+4) over Illinois: Iowa looked terrible last week against Penn State on the road and will look to get a much-needed victory at home against an Illinois defense that gave up over 500 yards last week to Wisconsin. The home team has covered 5 in a row in this series and Illinois is a road favorite less often than Dr. D is favored to get a return phone call from a sophomore lighter than 130 lbs.