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Thursday, October 04, 2007

Take the Double Extra Points #6

Last Week: 4-5-1 (44%) OUCH!
Season: 30-27-1 (53%) DAMN!


The trend continued again. The girls have officially stopped showing up. The post-game party doesn’t even have a guest list. Reality of the situation is we suck right now and we have to put up with partying by ourselves until the situation rectifies itself. Until then, it’s lonely us, poor lonely us.


SAMMY VEGAS

Georgia (+2) over TENNESSEE:
The grace period for winning a national championship is running out for Coach Fullmer in Tennessee. The Vols are off to a 2-2 start with losses at Florida and Cal with neither being close. Georgia’s only loss this year is at home to South Carolina. Tennessee has a top 20 D and Georgia has a top 20 offense, and I usually don’t pick against Tennessee at home but I’m gonna go with my instincts on this one, saddle up partner.

TEXAS TECH (-24) over Iowa State: "It was pitiful, it was pitiful. It was flat-out pitiful. We're some vaunted offense so we're going to sit here with our arms folded. Oh well, we'll have three lackadaisical plays and then we'll punt and we'll make it the defense's problem." –Mike Leach after Tech’s 45-41 loss to Oklahoma State. QB Grant Harrell has 24 touchdowns this year and 72% completion. Iowa State couldn’t be in a worse spot here as apparently coaches get on their players and get results.

Colorado (-8.5) over BAYLOR: I am starting to scare myself by talking about Dan Hawkins so much this week. Baylor has beaten Colorado the last two times they have played, and last week Baylor put up 2 first downs and had 68 total yards – the WHOLE game! Colorado has played Arizona State, Florida State, and Oklahoma – and they have actually have outgained these likes by an average of 89 yards/game. Oh and their defense is #5 in the country. Be very afraid Big 12 north.

INDIANA (-13) over Minnesota: Minnesota is bad. They have the worst pass defense in the country and have only 3 sacks – Indiana has a nation leading 27 sacks. Minnesota’s offense is dead last in TO’s with -18 while Indiana is 5th with +15. Last year, Minnesota ran the score up on Indiana 63-26 in the Dome so revenge is fresh. If that doesn’t convince you, I had IU professor Dr. D, the math Wunderkind, run these numbers and he was able to give me the phone numbers of all the Kappa pledge’s this semester. Numbers don’t lie.

PENN STATE (-9.5) over Iowa: Can you imagine paying a coach 2.7 million dollars in Kirk Ferentz to have him lose in his 9th year at Iowa to Indiana at home 20-38? (Callahan?) Iowa is almost last in every offensive category in the Big Ten and has given up 15 sacks this year. Penn State is off a loss at Illinois where they had almost a 100 more yards of offense than the Illini. I’m weary, but Iowa is awful.

TIMMY ROSE

SOUTH CAROLINA (-3.5) over Kentucky: Here is a Thursday pick for you loyal DXP readers to get your accounts started in the plus column before a huge weekend of college football. South Carolina is giving up just 15 points per game (12th in NCAA) and have already faced Georgia and LSU, while Kentucky is giving up almost 400 yards per game to the likes of Florida Atlantic and Kent State. Surprisingly, each of these rush defenses rank near the bottom of the country in rushing yards allowed at over 200 per game. We’ll go with the team that’s faced far superior defenses and the Ole’ Ball Coach that’s never lost to Kentucky. Did we mention that South Carolina has just slightly hotter girls than Kentucky?

TEXAS A&M (-6) over Oklahoma St: Oklahoma State’s passing D (3rd worst in NCAA) has more holes in it than Mike Vick’s brain. They will get tested in College Station as QB McGee threw 28 times last week for 200 yards. Texas A&M tops the Big XII South and will stay there for another week as they beat up on the most disappointing road team in the NCAA.

LOUISVILLE (-15) over Utah: Much like Oklahoma State, Utah has been of the most inconsistent teams in the country. After blowing out UCLA, they literally laid an egg at UNLV, losing 27-0. Their road game is worst than Dr. D’s bar game and Louisville looks to be recovered from back-to-back losses earlier in the year. Expect Louisville to run it up as they get national exposure on ESPN Friday night.

RUTGERS (-3.5) over Cincy: We think Cincy is more over-rated than a sober Saturday and a team that will be exposed against a Rutgers team that was beaten up by Maryland last week for over 450 yards and 34 points. Practice won’t be fun in Piscataway this week, but the Scarlet Knights should have no trouble getting fired up to face the team that ruined their Cinderella season just a year ago.

KANSAS STATE (-3) over Kansas: Kansas is in the top 10 in almost every single offensive and defensive statistical category and if you can guess the college town of more than one of their opponents, then next week’s picks are free. And if you’re counting, they played Toledo. Kansas State’s defense and special teams is among the best in the nation and this Coach Prince gets his fifth straight cover as a home favorite.