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Friday, September 29, 2006

Take the Double Extra Points - #4

“Man is a gaming animal. He must always be trying to get the better in something or other”

Last Week: 6-3 ATS

Season: 14-11-1 ATS

I hope you were all on board last weekend for our outstanding outing as we went 6-3, including two outright upset wins courtesy of Jeffie Husker. No doubt we are back on track and after taking a look at this week’s picks, you might want to join my girlfriends and I from ECU and enjoy the ride.

After watching the Thursday night game between Auburn and South Carolina, I decided enough is enough. Let’s get it out there and see a show of hands – who thinks Kirk Herbstreit and Erin Andrews are getting it on? Herbstreit has been married since 1998, has 3 year-old twin boys, and a house just north of Columbus, OH. Week after week, his poor wife must witness the endless flirting on national television. In fact, I almost felt obligated to hop in the car and drive to Columbus to console and maybe sleep with his hot wife when I heard Herbstreit say to Andrews, “Poopsie, you should get back in the tent.” Furthermore, it is no secret Andrews’ pet name for Herbstreit is ‘Herbie,’ but I wonder what his is for her? Let us know if you have any good ones. This is not the last time you will read about this as I plan on highlighting the best Herbstreit to Erin Andrews line from the Thursday night ESPN game on a weekly basis.

One last thing. Check this out. After #17 TCU's home loss to the BYU Cougars last night, the longest winning streak in the nation was stopped at 13 games. Even more impressive, check out the next 3 longest current winning streaks:

1. Ohio State 11 (this week at Iowa)
2. West Virginia 11 (Oct. 7 at Mississippi State)
3. Purdue 7 (this week at Notre Dame)

Purdue? You have got to be kidding me! Hail, Hail to Old Purdue!


Jeffie Husker

Rutgers (-4) over South Florida: Rutgers is back in the Top 25 this week for the first time since 1976 at #23. Lead by RB Ray Rice’s outstanding 151 rushing yards/game, Rutgers is averaging almost 204 yards a game on the ground while their defense gives up 83 yards rushing/game. South Florida is 3-1 and coming off a heartbreaker at Kansas, where they lost 13-7. However, South Florida beat FIU by one point and UCF by a touchdown. Look for Rutgers to literally run away this one.

Army (-11.5) over Rice: Rice is on its 2nd of 3 consecutive road games here and are up against the Bobby Ross-led Army Black Knights, who are once again a run-oriented team. Rice is 0-4 and has been taken to the woodshed by Florida State and Texas the last two weeks. Army has only been a home favorite 6 times since 1998 and is coming off an impressive 27-20 win at Baylor and a strong showing against Texas A&M. Rice will attempt to use the emotion of the tragic death of Dale Lloyd a la CU and Sal Aunese. But Army will cherish their return home and could roll over the beaten up Owls.

Oregon (+1.5) over Arizona State: As Nebraska fans surely can attest to, playing a night game in Tempe is never easy. Although Oregon is coming off questionable wins against Fresno and Oklahoma, they have had two weeks to prepare. ASU has struggled under the leadership of Rudy Carpenter and his 9 INTs this year. No doubt Sam Keller is smiling somewhere in a bar on “O” Street as we speak. Oregon’s RB Jonathan Stewart is averaging almost 7 yards/carry and Dennis Dixon completing 65% of his passes providing the Dusks with plenty of firepower. The line on this game has bounced a lot late in the week, but I still think Oregon wins it outright.

The ladies love Sam Keller. Sam Keller loves the
ladies. (Picture obviously taken in Tempe)

Dr. D

Penn St. (-18.5) over Northwestern: Northwestern is reeling since the first week when they beat Miami (OH). The Wildcats are averaging only 18 points a game and their freshman QB has 1 TD and 5 INTs. Last week, Penn State was hanging tough with Ohio State before two very costly turnovers in the last few minutes that gave the game a misleading final score of 28-6. Penn State has a top 10 defense and has great offensive talents in QB Anthony Morelli and WR Derrick Williams. Back at Happy Valley; look for Penn St. to throttle Northwestern.

Iowa (+7.5) over Ohio State: Watch the emotions run high here as Kinnick Field is hosting just its 5th night game ever and ESPN’s Gameday is scheduled to hit Iowa City Friday Night. After witnessing how much the rain slowed down the Buckeyes last week the grounds crew may have raised the blades on the mowers a bit this week. Ohio State has the talent edge here, but look for QB Drew Tate and his 62% completion percentage to not only stay within a touchdown, but also possibly pull out the shocker of the season so far.

Indiana (+12) over Wisconsin: A week ago versus Michigan, the Badgers compiled a whopping 12 yards rushing. Their defense, on the other hand, has been solid this year and ranks in the top 20 nationally. The Hoosiers, however, will get a boost from having Coach Hoeppner back on the sidelines this week after his recent brain surgery. In addition, IU gets back future star NFL WR James Hardy from a suspension and QB Blake Powers is now at a 100% for the first time in 2 weeks. What does this all mean? Well, IU is 7-0 ATS when Powers and Hardy play together, and when you sprinkle in the return of a beloved head coach fresh off of brain surgery, it smells like a recipe for an upset.

Sammy Vegas

California (-9.5) over Oregon State: Are you kidding me? Since the week 1 loss to Tennessee, Cal has systematically destroyed everyone that they have come across – including a dominating 28 point win over Arizona State. With possible 1st round NFL players QB Nate Longshore, RB Marshawn Lynch, and WR DeSean Jackson, Cal will once again bring superior talent and a chip on their shoulder into Corvallis. Last time Cal played here, they won 49-7. Oregon State has been very inconsistent and even lost big at Boise earlier this year. I said it before and I’ll say it again, Cal is the best team in the Pac 10 Conference. Cal 100 – OSU 2.

Miami, Fl (-16.5) over Houston: Houston brings in a stout offense lead by QB Kevin Kolb who is averaging almost 300 yards/game with a pass completion of 70%. The D is allowing just over 300 yards a game, and with Miami’s offense struggling, it would be easy to look Houston’s way. However, throw numbers out the window here. Larry Coker’s job is on the line, and with an off week to prepare, look for the very angry Canes’ to take out their frustrations on the Cougars. There is no need to compare talent here – its not even close.

Nebraska (-22) over Kansas: No offense to KU players, fans, and alumni, but last year’s 40-15 loss might have been one of the lowest moments I can remember as a Husker. It not only snapped a 36 consecutive game win streak over KU, but seemed to almost set the Nebraska program back 36 years. Zac Taylor is completing 71% of his passes with 8 TDs and 2 INTs, and KU boasts just the #113 rated pass efficiency defense. Mangyro is only 3-19 SU on the road in his tenure at KU while Nebraska has looked very impressive at home (twice producing almost 600 yards offense). Talent, revenge, and home field advantage (especially at night) spell an easy victory for the Huskers.