Season: 49-45-1 (52%)
Not often do we guarantee things, but this week we do. If not, Timmy Rose and Sammy Vegas will take turns doing this at the Colts-Patriots game Sunday.
At least we found a lucky girl to take one for the team.
SAMMY VEGAS
TENNESSEE (-28) over U. Louisiana Lafayette: ULL is 1-7 this year and their defense is allowing almost 39 points/game and 500 yards of offense/game (only slightly better than Nebraska to put it in perspective). Tennessee will be riding high as they are coming off a HUGE home win vs. South Carolina. Besides, let’s face it, Coach Fullmer has to be thinking about his job at this point and anything less than a blowout will put him squarely back on the hotseat – winning a championship can barely buy you a decade of job security. 
TEXAS TECH (-21) over Baylor: I am so sick of picking against Baylor and taking Tech this year, but, come on, 21 points? Tech will have an easier time scoring than A. Rose at a Bar Mitzvah. Baylor’s defense has more holes than Dr. D’s testimony on allegations of stealing underwear at the Kappa House. Add those 2 together and you'll be the one bending the bookie over. 
Wisconsin (+16) over OHIO STATE: Wisconsin was stung at Illinois and then had to go to Happy Valley the next week and got destroyed. However, the last two weeks they have won by a combined 77-6 vs. Indiana and N. Illinois. Ohio State can hardly score 30 pts. (34.1/game) and at their last home game they beat Michigan State 24-17. This spread will probably be 17 by kickoff which just happens to be the exact same age as a Dr. D date in Bloomington – coincidence? I think not. But I like it. 
Florida State (+7.5) over BOSTON COLLEGE: B.C. is lucky to still be at #2. FSU has 3 close losses. QB Matt Ryan from BC is good. However, with FSU QB Xavier Lee out indefinitely, I believe that QB Weatherford who has 5 TDs to 1 INT and over 60% completion on the season is primed to take this team over. FSU’s defense has held opponents to only 18 points/game and with Ryan’s 8 INTs this year, the ‘Noles pull the outright upset. WEEKLY ‘I SHOULDN’T BE LOOKING THIS UP’ PICK
ARKANSAS ST. (-17.5) over Florida International: I won by going against Arkansas State last week here vs. a great Troy team. However, this is completely different. Check this out. Florida International is scoring 8.5 points/game and giving up 41.3 points/game. Arkansas State is bad but they still get almost 400 yards and are scoring an average of 29 points. No contest.TIMMY ROSE
South Carolina (+4 1/2) over ARKANSAS - South Carolina is giving up almost 170 yards per game on the ground (Nebraska is dead last at over 240 per game in case anyone forgot) and will face a stiff test in slowing down RBs McFadden and Jones. However, the Gamecocks pass D in 2nd in the nation and should be able to make Arkansas one-dimension on Sat night. These are two top-25 defenses in the nation in a tight SEC game with conference title implications. This game looks almost as predictable as a Bill Callahan press conference and we're betting this one will be tighter than your friends wallets at the bars. 
ALABAMA(+7 1/2) over LSU - This game marks the much-anticipated game between HC Saban and his former team and will decide the SEC West. While we like Bama's offense rolling up over 500 yards of offense against Tennessee last week, it's last year's contest that has us going against the Tigers. QB Parker Wilson threw for 291 yards last year in a 28-14 loss to LSU. Alabama's offense should have more confidence than Dr. D at an IU Kappa party with a bottle of Rohypnol. Add in LSU's off-field issues and this game should be close. We'll go with an Alabama team that's getting better each week under the Nictator.
NOTRE DAME (-3 1/2) over Navy - When I saw this spread I started drooling like A. Rose at the National Single Mom with Implants Convention. Notre Dame has won 43 in a row against the Midshipmen and have won the last 7 by almost 20 points per game. Before the season started, this spread would have been 17 and Navy's D has given up over 30 in 6 of the last 7 games. In last week's loss to I-AA Delaware, they forced the Blue Hens to punt twice while giving up 59 points and 550 yards of offense. This should have Charlie Weiss drooling almost as much as when he heard about free Taco Tuesday at Taco Bell. If this game is within 10, I'll stop making picks the rest of the year.
OKLAHOMA STATE (+3 1/2) over Texas - Texas has been flat out inconsistent all year and they will face a tough test in Stillwater on Saturday against a surging Cowboy offense. Oklahoma State has a shot at winning the Big 12 South and while HC Gundy is 40 years old and a man, the Cowboys should actually be favored in this one. 
PENN STATE (-7) over Purdue - Purdue's D has been atrocious on the road giving up almost 35 point per game (by comparison Nebraska is giving up almost 32 in both road and home games). Penn State will not need a lot of help in covering this spread as their defense should be back to form after getting blown out last week at home by Ohio State. Just think, this could be your Halloween party Friday night.......
The girls will cost ya but the picks won't.
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