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Thursday, August 30, 2007

Sammy Vegas and Timmy Rose: Take the Double Extra Points

“The smarter you play, the luckier you’ll be”

Super Duper Gang!!! We’re Back!!!

We are super duper happy to be back again this year on DXP to try again to take down Vegas. For all of the new followers here, what we do is research the hell out of college football lines and then feed you our expert picks with plenty of stats and numbers to satisfy all gambling aficionados. Oh, and occasionally, we might throw a picture of some smokin’ hot ladies up here and there. And it’s all FREE!!!

Before we get started here, I wanted to remind you all about the DXP pick ‘em contest. Oh, and by the way, we have great prizes for the top 5 – which includes gift certificates and this great bobble head doll of the greatest mascot on earth.

Click here to join. If that link fails, simply Go to and click on Fantasy at the top. Then select College Pick’em. You'll then be asked to either create an account or logon to your existing ESPN Fantasy account. Once you've done that you'll want to join our group which is Double Extra Point and the password is Huskers.

Now, I'm no mathematical Wunderkind like Dr. D, but I think going 19-10 to end the year means loyal DXP readers like you can pay up those bar bills by strictly adhering to the free advice that comes from future gambling legends Sammy Vegas and Timmy Rose.


PENN STATE (-38) over Florida International: FIU was 0 for 12 last year. This year they have the luxury of breaking in a new QB (and head coach) in front of 105,000 people in Happy Valley to start the season. Penn State is on everyone’s radar to compete for the Big 10 championship, and QB Anthony Morelli will have his breakout year that Nittany Lion fans have been waiting for. Penn State will boast one of the nation’s top defenses this year with former top recruit CB Justin King. Look for Penn State to roll harder than Dr. D in the streets of Manhattan.

KANSAS (-7.7) over Central Michigan: Coach “ManGyro” leads a Jayhawk team that might surprise some Big 12 foes this year with a stout defense lead by CB Aqib Talib (Playboy All-American). Do you know that only ONE rusher has put up over 100 yards in the last two years against them? The CMU Chippewas have mustered up 2 wins in their last 22 non-conference road games. Mangino is 12-5 ATS at home with SE Louisiana lingering on deck and he should be able to eat his way through a porous CMU defense.

NEBRASKA (-21) over Nevada: Since Callahan laid an egg against S. Miss at home several years ago, the Huskers have won all 6 non-conference home games by an average of almost 32 points per game. Last year, Nevada lost to a Sam Keller-less Arizona State team 52-21. Well, this year Keller gets his shot. I think that between the Blackshirts and our tailgating Blackouts, we should have no trouble containing Nevada’s first year starting quarterback.

Florida State (-3) over CLEMSON: Believe it or not, this is the already the 9th Bowden Bowl. Wow. Another Wow is that Tommy has beaten Bobby 3 of the last 4 years. While Clemson only returns 12 starters and will start a perennial back-up at QB, FSU brings almost everybody back including QB Drew Weatherford, RB Antone Smith, and WR Greg Carr. FSU beat UCLA 44-27 in a bowl to cap a great finish while Clemson lost their last 4 of 5 and gave up over 22 pts/per game. Probably this biggest factor here is going to be FSU new offensive coordinator Jimbo Fisher, who Bowden hired from LSU.

TEXAS (-39) over Arkansas State: Two great statistics here: Texas has won their first game the last 7 years by an avg. of 52-5 and Arkansas State has lost 16 away road games by an avg. of 42-13. Texas lost absolutely no one and will have a healthy Colt McCoy who had them, as a freshman, in the BCS championship hunt until his neck injury against Kansas State. Expect big plays from RB Jamaal Charles and their WRs who put up big numbers last year as the Longhorns put this away by halftime.

MICHIGAN STATE (-21) over UAB: UAB returns a whopping 8 starters and replaces their entire coaching staff. MSU has avg. 44 points per game the last 2 years in their non-conference games. UAB defense ranks #115 in most experts’ minds and that is not good. MSU QB Brandon Hoyer had his first career start the last game of the year last at Penn State and had 61, yeah 61, pass attempts. Only T. Rose averages more attempts on a Saturday – however, that is at the Arizona State student union.


ARIZONA STATE (-15) over San Jose St – This game will mark the beginning of the Dennis Erickson era in Tempe and has the unusual distinction of being a revenge game for the coach as he lost his final game with Idaho to Coach Tomey and the Spartans last November. Coach Erickson knows this opponent well and he will not overlook a team that returns 15 starters from last year’s New Mexico Bowl winning squad. The Sun Devils have the size advantage on both lines and will be determined to get RB Ryan Torrain going early. That will open things up for QB Rudy Carpenter and a talented group of WRs. It will get ugly in the desert as Coach Erickson rolls to his first win with ASU. While I’ll be in the 19th row on the 50-yard line at Sun Devil Stadium for this one, I will be lucky to catch more than five actual plays of the game as the scantily clad student section will be to my immediate left. I’ll take pictures for the loyal DXP readers.

USC (-46) over Idaho – Let’s stay in the Pac-10 and make this one short and sweet. New coach, freshman QB, new WRs, TE, LG, and LT vs one of the best defenses in the past 10 years with potentially 8, yes 8, future first and second round draft picks. I would take USC’s defense to outscore Idaho by at least 14. The Vandals will be lucky to score once and USC’s third-stringers are better than any team in WAC.

AUBURN(-13 ½) over Kansas State – This is the first time in 6 years that K-State has had the balls to travel to a BCS school for a non-conference game. Tell Coach Prince that this might be a step up from Marshall and Illinois State (who KSU rolled by 1 point in last year’s opener). This will be the toughest environment that QB Freeman has had to play in and not even an above average defense will be able to save the Mildcats from making this a close game. If you want to double up on this game, take the UNDER (46) and give Sammy Vegas 20% of the winnings.

FLORIDA ATLANTIC (-2 ½ ) over Middle Tennessee State – Following Sun Belt Conference football action is what truly separates the men from the boys in the gambling world. For those of you who’ve even heard of these two schools, you will remember that MTSU beat FAU last year with the help of defensive and special teams TDs. FAU has 18 starters back and will be one of the most improved teams in the league. They also have Captain Kangaroo as their coach, which makes this pick tough even though it’s been over 23 years since I cried after the ’84 Orange Bowl.

OREGON (-15) over Houston – Like Jeffie Husker, I call for Oregon to be the most underrated team in the Pac-10. Even though the Ducks finished 2007 with 4 straight losses, they have 7 starters back on both offense and defense. QBs Dixon and Leaf and RBs Stewart and Johnson return to form a good nucleus on offense and their defense sets up perfectly (Top 20 pass D each of last 4 years) for the visiting Cougars. Even though I’m partial to the Houston mascot, I think Oregon wins convincingly and will be the sleeper in a deep Pac-10.

STANFORD (+17) over UCLA – Yes, they have a new coach and yes, they are hands down the least talented team in the Pac-10. However, I read a stat 4 years ago in Phil Steele’s College Football Preview that has stuck with me like the “I thought the Rocky Mountains would be a little rockier than this” quote from Dumb and Dumber. Always play on a home dog in a season opener if they have more than 16 starters returning in a revenge game. Evidently this formula generates winners more than 70% of the time. And seriously, how can you not go with advice given by the prognosticating legend Phil Steele?