Double Extra Lock: 4-2 (67%)
The good hands of DXP's famed "Take the Double Extra Points" have come to their senses. Starting next week, you will see Timmy Rose, aka T. Rose (with his 11-5 record ATS this year), take you from rags to riches the rest of the year with a little help from Sammy Vegas, Jeffie Husker, and A Rose.
Sammy Vegas has gone on to bigger and better things such as court dates with college girls that were illegally posted. Jeffie Husker has gone on to representing Sammy and making sure that he doesn't take him down with him in court. A. Rose has gone on to attempting to make his facebook page measure up to Barack Obama's. Needless to say, it is the T. Rose show on Friday's starting next week. It's like sending your little kid off to pre-school for the first day - but not really. (we don't have kids that we know of, yet)
TIMMY ROSE
Pitt (-3) over NAVY - The Midshipmen have quietly won 3 in a row to run their record to 4-2 this year and the defense has been respectable, giving up just under 22 points per game. However, they take on a surging Pitt team this week that is off a bye week and has won 4 straight after an opening week loss to Bowling Green at home. This is a huge revenge game from a year ago where Pitt lost 48-45 in 2OT and cost me more money than A. Rose can spend in 10 minutes at 20's. "Brian, that doesn't make sense." We'll go right back to Pitt, a team that held South Florida to under 250 yards of total offense on the road two weeks ago and is thinking BCS.
GEORGIA (-14.5) over Vandy - The Commodores have won games this year the kind of defense that you can only find from sorority girls trying to fend off Dr. D's advances at Indiana University bars. It's no secret that Vandy's offense has struggled this year, but we feel this is a team that could lose every game left on the schedule. Georgia is getting great line value as they somehow did not cover 13 point against Tennessee last week despite outgaining the Vols 458 to 209. This one could get ugly fast and we don't see Vandy scoring more than 7 points with under 200 yards of total offense.
NEW MEXICO STATE (+2.5) over San Jose State - The Aggie offense finally got untracked last week as Chase Holbrook passed for over 400 yards in an upset win at Nevada. San Jose State's defense has played well all year, but we'll go with the home underdog in a game that features two early season Husker opponents.
SAMMY VEGAS
NORTHWESTERN (-2.5) over Purdue - NW is 0-7 ATS as a Big 10 home favorite. Purdue is 7-19-1 as an away dog. RB Sutton for the Wildcats has nearly 5.6 yards/carry and the Wildcat defense leads the Big 10 in sacks with 19. Something has to give here and given the fact that the 5-1 Wildcats have beaten Iowa and Duke on the road this year, expect this home game by less than a field goal spread to be more than a field goal for the Cats.
PENN STATE (-23.5) over Michigan - It pains me to say that Penn State might be the best team in the college football right now. The last time Penn State beat Michigan: 1996. I have said before that there will be a week when Penn State doesn't cover but so far they are 6-0-1 ATS. QB Daryl Clark, RB Royster, and WR D. Williams are going to light up Michigan who is coming off a heart breaker against the Toledo Rockets.
MICHIGAN STATE (+4.5) over Ohio State: Terrelle Pryor and Beanie Wells are a formidable 1-2 punch. So you know, they just beat a Wisconsin team two weeks ago by 3 points on a botched defense by the Badgers that weren't ready for the game winning play. Penn State beat that same Wisconsin team by 41 points - same time, same place. Michigan State RB Javon Ringer has 1,112 yards and 14 TDs this year. Michigan State is 6-1 with wins over Iowa, Notre Dame, and Northwestern. This game is within a field goal.
DOUBLE EXTRA LOCK
UCLA (+2) over Stanford - It feels like yesterday that we were loading up on Arizona State to cover 14 against the same Cardinal in Week 2. Stanford is favored against the Bruins, yet have been outscored 52-0 in the last two trips they have made to Pasadena. Stanford ran for almost 300 yards against Arizona last week in Palo Alto while UCLA gave up over 300 yards on the ground at Oregon last week. However, the Bruin secondary only gave up 42 yards passing against the Ducks and Stanford was down to their 3rd string QB last week. UCLA will load up to stop the run and will be able to put up points against a terrible Stanford secondary that ranks 114th in the NCAA.
(p.s. I have so many Pac 10 'Poon-per Bowl' girls right now that they just leak themselves out on here)
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