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Thursday, December 27, 2007

DXP Bowl Extravaganza: Part 2, Take 8

Bowl Season: 4-2 ATS (66%)

We have to admit we are a little disappointed even though we started off 4-2 Against The Spread. If you are Purdue, how do you not cover 8 points vs. a team that you were up 31-0 on earlier this year and 34-14 at halftime of this game, have 546 yards of passing, and not have Kevin Cosgrove as your Defensive Coordinator? Blows my mind.

However, going 4-2 still should have allowed you to buy your buddies vintage Christmas gifts like this........




Even gifts for Lincoln, NE's own Melissa Midwest.......



(Pssst, Melissa, everytime I have tried to call you back I get CrimeStoppers. I think our lines are getting crossed. Call me.)

SAMMY VEGAS

EMERALD BOWL
4* MARYLAND (+5.5) over Oregon State:
Ralph Friedgen has won 3 bowl games in a row by a combined 95-17 and he continues to be one of the most underrated coaches in football. Oregon State runs a two QB system that has produced them a combined 10 Touchdowns to 20 Interceptions this year. Oregon State does have a great defense, but Maryland has a more aggressive offense than me after a 200 dollar tab and a lap dance; not to mention a much better coach.

LIBERTY BOWL
3* CENTRAL FLORIDA (-3) over Mississippi State:
Write this name down. Kevin Smith. UCF’s star RB is returning next year to college and should be atop of the Heisman race immediately. He has 2,549 yards this year rushing alone and needs 181 yards to break Barry Sanders’ single season record. Not to be overlooked, UCF’s defense was more solid than any girl I have approached after midnight in a long time that is not in a strip club. They allowed 3.8 yards/rush and had 38 sacks. Sylvester Croom is doing well at MSU with a 7-5 record in the brutal SEC and this game is close to home at Memphis, TN. These two teams played UAB this year – UCF had 506 yards of offense and MSU had 284. Go with the better skill players and better D with Central Florida.

ALAMO BOWL
2* TEXAS A&M (+6) over Penn State:
The Aggies are only a 2 hour drive from the Alamo Bowl in Houston, TX. They lost their last 4 of 5 games after starting 5-1 and HC Dennis Franchione is gone after a win over Texas. Penn State was gold at the beginning of the year for us, but once again Joe Pa proved that he can recruit the best talent on the east coast and do nothing with it. Penn State has a great D and A&M can only run the ball in a one dimensional offense. The so called ‘Bowl Genius’ Paterno needs to go grab a beer with Bobby Bowden and ride off in the sunset. This game is sold out and guess by who? A&M on the money line please.

CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL
1* BOSTON COLLEGE (-4) over Michigan State:
BC was outgained in total offense by one team all year and that was Maryland by 6 yards. BC QB Matt Ryan is a great QB but has had 18 INTs this year. However, you know when you see college athletes that should be professionals and Matt Ryan is one of them. It’s just like that hot girl at the bar that you approach and she talks to you, and you somehow wonder if she is going to negotiate a price with you at last call. Now you know you are out of your league.

TIMMY ROSE

MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL
4* WAKE FOREST(-2.5) over UConn
– I’ll give you a winner in this one, but don’t ask Vegas or I how the former Continental Tire Bowl has not gone bankrupt and still attracts two BCS conference teams. UConn may the most overrated team in America and even in the Huskies three signature Big East wins (L’Ville, Rutgers, S. Florida), they were outgained in each game and outgained by over 100 yards in 2 of the 3 games. These teams are headed in different directions as UConn was blown out in 2 of their last 3 games, while Wake is a game-ending missed FG (Virginia) away from winning 9 of their last 10 games. Wake gives up just over 3 yards per rush and 100 rushing yards per game and their front seven will dominate UConn in a surprisingly easy victory in this one.

TEXAS BOWL
2* TCU (-4.5) over Houston
– This marks the second time in the 7 year history of the former Houston Bowl that an all-Texas game will be played as the Horned Frogs played Texas A&M in the inaugural game back in 2001. TCU’s offense, which did not score more than 27 points until the 7th game of the season against Stanford, has come alive and is averaging almost 35 points per game and 450 yards over the last 4 games, including a 694 yard performance in a 45-33 win over San Diego State. The key has been consistent QB play from Dalton and a solid rushing attack. The favorite has covered every game in this bowl’s history and as much as it pains A. Rose to bet against Cougars, we’re going with the much better defense in this one.

INDEPENDENCE BOWL
2* COLORADO (+3.5) over Alabama
– Watching Dr. D’s ‘Helmet Cam’ at the Indiana bars will be more entertaining than this one. Other than the 65 that the Pinkshirts gave up to the Buffs, both offenses have looked pretty weak over the last month of the season. The Crimson Tide rolls into bowl season on a 4-game losing streak, highlighted by a ‘catastrophic’ 21-14 loss to Louisiana-Monroe. Crimson Tide alumns may want to try to get some of that $5 million per season back from Saban before he bolts for the Arkansas opening next year. Alabama has won 3 games by 6 points or less and have found a way to play down to their competition all season. We’ll take the Buffs and the points in this one, but will be watching Cinemax by halftime.

HOLIDAY BOWL

1* Texas (-2) over Arizona State
– This year’s Holiday Bowl could be a high-scoring affair as neither defense has looked good against Bowl teams this season. Texas is giving up almost 30 points per game to bowl teams while the Sun Devils are giving up 26. ASU’s has dealt with multiple injuries to its front seven this year and now must replace starting LB Wooten, lost to suspension for this one. They will have trouble containing RB Charles who is averaging over 190 yards per game over the last 4, including a 290 yard effort against the now jobless defensive coordinator Kevin Cosgrove. While the Sun Devils have a clear edge in female talent in the classroom (although we hear Texas girls are much easier), we’ll take the Longhorns to jump to an early lead and control the line of scrimmage in this one.

Sammy Vegas (with my wife pictured here), Timmy Rose, Jeffie Husker, and Dr. D wishes everyone a Happy New Year and wants you know that we'll be back Saturday for most of the rest of the bowl games...



HAPPY HOLIDAYS FROM THE DXP GANG!