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Thursday, July 05, 2007

Nebraska Defensive Efficiency - Part III

For Brandon and all of the history buffs. Here is the historical breakdown of our Bendability Index over time. Remember that the Bendability Index is essentially a measure of Yards Per Point Allowed.
























































































































































































































































































YearBendability IndexYds. Allowed Pts. Allowed Record Final AP Rank
200618.154646256 9-5NR
2005 15.8239862528-424th
200413.7240882985-6NR
200320.55386318810-319th
200215.1350673357-7NR
200118.23344618911-28th
200016.62354021310-28th
199920.18302715012-13rd
199820.5737641839-419th
199715.68308819713-0*2nd
199620.03306515311-26th
199521.57323515012-01st
199421.42310614513-01st
199319.23338417611-13rd
199219.8033841729-314th
199118.1337722089-2-115th
199019.7128981479-324th
198917.33301517410-211th
198817.32315318211-210th
198721.89291213310-26th
198617.28259215010-25th
198522.5730701369-311th
198421.30223610510-24th
198323.76442018612-12nd
198225.45348713712-13rd
198125.6826451039-311th
198024.9223189310-27th
197920.67270813110-29th
197816.2835162169-38th
197717.9035792009-310th
197619.5135321819-39th
197520.44280013710-29th
197423.7031281329-39th
197317.7929001639-2-17th


And here we see the Top 10 seasons from the past:

1. 1981 - 25.68
2. 1982 - 25.45
3. 1980 - 24.92
4. 1983 - 23.76
5. 1974 - 23.70
6. 1985 - 22.57
7. 1987 - 21.89
8. 1995 - 21.57
9. 1994 - 21.42
10. 1984 - 21.30

You’ll notice an interesting run in the early 80s. I found this a bit surprising, so I decided to take a closer look. The 1981 Blackshirts were led by All-American and Big 8 Defensive Player-of-the-Year (UPI) Jimmy Williams. Williams was joined by fellow All Big-8 performer Jeff Krecji. Tony Felici, Sammy Sims, and Ric Lindquist were named all-conference by the World Herald. Steve Damkroger led the Huskers with 116 tackles, while Williams finished with 10 sacks. The Blackshirts set a team record in 1981 after giving up just 9 TDs during the season. Other than just yielding such a small number of TDs, nothing really jumps out at me about this particular defense. Of course, I don’t have much to go on. I know I was cheering hard for this team, but let’s face it, I hadn’t even turned 4 when they took the field. Maybe one of our older readers can enlighten us (Dad)?

Next, we see the ten worst seasons over the last 34 years.

1. 2004 - 13.72
2. 2002 - 15.13
3. 1997 - 15.68
4. 2005 - 15.82
5. 1978 - 16.28
6. 2000 - 16.62
7. 1986 - 17.28
8. 1988 - 17.32
9. 1989 - 17.33
10. 1973 - 17.79

I’m absolutely not surprised to see three seasons from the very recent past up at the top. We just haven’t been a great defensive team for a while. I was shocked, however, to see the 1997 team so high on this list. As I hope you’ve discovered, while the Bendability Index is a helpful and interesting statistic it isn’t the holy grail of variables. In addition, it becomes important to think about the other side of the ball. The efficiency of a team’s offense can make up for an inefficient defense and vice-versa. In that way, we can start to understand that while the 1997 team didn’t boast the most efficient defense, its offense was likely one of the most efficient in history. So, that’s where we’ll go next, examining offensive efficiency or, a team’s Scorability Index.